Consulting the ledger
The Ledger · Pauper · September 2026
Red Madness is the most-played deck at 11.4% of all matches — winning 52.5% of them. The performance edge sits with Esper Affinity (56.9%) and Aura Bogles (54.3%).
The decks to beat
The six most-played archetypes of the window. Art follows each deck’s signature card.
The moat
Row beats column. Ink density is confidence — pale cells are small samples; a dash means fewer than five matches. Nobody else publishes this.
Presence & performance
Match-weighted share of the metagame. Win rate carries a 95% confidence interval, clustered by player.
| #↑ | Archetype | Win rate | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52.5%49.4–55.5 | 681–616–15 | 1,312 | |
| 2 | 52.4%48.7–56.1 | 381–344–40 | 765 | |
| 3 | 49.7%46.0–53.4 | 356–360–18 | 734 | |
| 4 | 48.6%44.3–52.8 | 280–297–18 | 595 | |
| 5 | 50.1%44.3–55.8 | 269–268–22 | 559 | |
| 6 | 51.3%45.3–57.2 | 252–239–26 | 517 | |
| 7 | 47.7%43.4–51.9 | 233–256–3 | 492 | |
| 8 | 48.3%43.7–52.8 | 222–239–27 | 488 | |
| 9 | 52.8%47.7–57.8 | 209–186–19 | 414 | |
| 10 | 54.3%48.9–59.6 | 202–170–4 | 376 | |
| 11 | 49.3%43.9–54.7 | 164–169–15 | 348 | |
| 12 | 56.9%52.1–61.6 | 179–134–14 | 327 | |
| 13 | 49.4%43.6–55.1 | 146–150–15 | 311 | |
| 14 | 49.0%43.6–54.4 | 112–117–20 | 249 | |
| 15 | 44.5%38.1–50.9 | 109–136–1 | 246 | |
| 16 | 50.9%44.8–56.9 | 114–110–11 | 235 | |
| 17 | 51.2%45.3–57.1 | 106–101–7 | 214 | |
| 18 | 52.7%46.7–58.8 | 100–89–12 | 201 | |
| 19 | 52.6%44.8–60.4 | 98–88–6 | 192 | |
| 20 | 53.4%44.5–62.2 | 72–62–14 | 148 | |
| Other (collapsed tail) | — | — | 2,751 |
Position
Every archetype above the sample floor. Right of the pack is popular; above the line is winning. Color marks the side of 50% the record supports.
| Opponent | Win rate | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| #12Esper Affinity | 26%15.9–39.6 | 13–37 | 50 |
| #7Red Rally | 31%20.3–45.0 | 16–35 | 51 |
| #10Aura Bogles | 43%30.8–55.9 |
| 56 |
| #2Tron | 44%33.9–54.2 | 38–49–1 | 88 |
| #3Mono Blue Terror | 45%34.2–55.3 | 36–45–1 | 82 |
| #5Grixis Affinity | 47%34.7–60.2 | 26–29 | 55 |
| #11Dimir Faeries | 57%43.3–69.5 | 28–21–2 | 51 |
| #6White Aggro | 58%44.9–69.4 | 33–24–2 | 59 |
| #9Spy Combo | 65%50.4–76.6 | 31–17 | 48 |
| #8Jund Midrange | 67%53.2–78.4 | 33–16–1 | 50 |
| #4Elves | 84%74.5–90.4 | 68–13 | 81 |